Polymarket is a decentralized, blockchain-based prediction market platform ... Josh Shapiro as Kamala Harris’s likely running mate (he wasn’t picked). In October 2024, Polymarket diverged sharply from ...

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are effectively tied in their chances of winning in November, according to Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market whose users ...

Kalshi had Harris leading for a few hours on Nov. 3, Polymarket gave her better odds throughout much of September, and Predictit, New Zealand-based prediction market, had Trump leading by only 1 ...

Polls across the board called the race as a coin ... $3.7 billion in total wagered on the contest between Harris and Trump. The prediction market was fined $1.4 million by the Commodity Futures ...

The French “whale” who bet $30 million on a Trump White House win via Polymarket has raked in $48 million in profits on the wager, according to the crypto-based betting platform.

On Polymarket, where Trump's odds were over 60% last week, they've fallen to 58.1%, with Harris' odds at 42.8%. The big swing in betting odds created waves that are being felt in financial markets ...

Before voters head to the polls Tuesday with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris vying for the presidency, several businesses in Washington, D.C., were boarded up last week near the intersection of ...

Perhaps the most prominent of the Trump trades — stock in Truth Social's parent company, Trump Media and Technology Group — plunged by as much as 40% since Trump's election odds peaked on Tuesday.

Mark Hulbert Why ‘Trump trades’ and ‘Harris trades’ could be just regular stock-market bets Here’s what the S&P 500 sectors are really saying about their presidential election preference ...

Trump, he said, would rely more on market forces while keeping a lid on the corporate tax rate, raising tariffs and cutting taxes on overtime pay, tips and Social Security benefits.

In Arizona, Trump is seen as having a 74% chance of winning, whereas Harris has just a 26% chance. However, Real Clear Polling averages show Trump winning by 1.3 percentage points.