While current polls show her with an 11-point advantage with women, Biden had an 18-point edge in the 2020 polls and finished with a 15-point lead in the actual election.

Two Theories for Why the Polls Failed in 2020, and What It Means for 2024. To make polling better, you have to figure out what went wrong in the first place. Share full article.

The polls in 2020 did not, in fact, underestimate him. In fact, Joe Biden‘s worst polling position against Donald Trump in the general election, he was still up.

The nonresponse bias that bedeviled the polls in 2020 is not an easy thing to fix. By definition, pollsters know very little about the people who don’t talk to them.

Presidential Polls 2020 Election on Nov. 3 Tracking the state of the race between President Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Joe Biden, updated as polls are released.

In 2020, polls showed President Joe Biden with a strong lead over then-President Trump. Just before the election, Biden led by 8.4 points in FiveThirtyEight's average and 7.2 points in ...

Anatomy of three Trump elections: How Americans shifted in 2024 vs. 2020 and 2016 Exit polls reveal a divided country. By Zachary B. Wolf, Curt Merrill and Way Mullery, CNN. Published: November 6 ...

As you can see, Trump’s margin with noncollege-educated white voters ended up being higher than the polls suggested. But his ...

As you can see, Trump’s margin with noncollege-educated white voters ended up being higher than the polls suggested. But his current 27-point advantage is almost equal with that 2020 result.