This post offers a framework for thinking about the effect of tariffs on major asset class returns by estimating asset ...

We review recent research and experiences linking inflation and expectations, emphasizing what has been learned since 2020. One clear lesson is that the inflation expectations of most economic agents ...

Simplying a lot, the standard view since Volcker has been to take the Phillips curve and add in the monetarist view of inflation expectations. As Federal Reserve Governor Adriana D. Kugler put it ...

The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate, to achieve maximum employment and stable prices, requires monitoring a broad range of indicators and carefully evaluating the trade-offs between these goals. We ...

Monetary policy in the United States is determined by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), a decisionmaking body that ...

Governments notice that inflation is consistently accompanied by high ... discussed his work and got caught up in a manic frenzy over expectations-augmented Phillips curves, iso-vote curves, infinite ...

Americans’ expectations for inflation in the medium-term climbed to an almost three-year high in April while their views on the job market worsened, according to a monthly survey from the ...

The disconnect between inflation expectations and the 10-year Treasury ... but the Treasury yield curve started flattening out. Rick Santelli, the great CNBC reporter would do live shots from ...

Consumers sent mixed signals about their inflation expectations in the New York Fed’s April survey. But the poll showed no serious rise in long-term inflation expectations, a top concern for the ...

SYDNEY (Reuters) -New Zealand's inflation expectations rose in the second quarter to its highest in a year, a Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) survey showed on Friday, as markets expect the ...

May 8 (Reuters) - Mexico's annual inflation rate came in line with market expectations in April, official data showed on Thursday, accelerating from the previous month but still within the central ...