While current polls show her with an 11-point advantage with women, Biden had an 18-point edge in the 2020 polls and finished with a 15-point lead in the actual election.

The polls in 2020 did not, in fact, underestimate him. In fact, Joe Biden‘s worst polling position against Donald Trump in the general election, he was still up.

In 2020, the polls erred even worse than they did in 2016. This was especially true for the national pollsters who seemed to nail the 2016 election.

Poll results and election surveys for the 2020 U.S. presidential election, including polling data and who is leading between Trump and Biden in key swing states.

In 2020, polls showed President Joe Biden with a strong lead over then-President Trump. Just before the election, Biden led by 8.4 points in FiveThirtyEight's average and 7.2 points in ...

The nonresponse bias that bedeviled the polls in 2020 is not an easy thing to fix. By definition, pollsters know very little about the people who don’t talk to them.

Quinnipiac‘s most recent poll, released on October 16, 2024, showed Trump ahead of Harris by seven points, almost the opposite result the pollsters reported in 2020.

In 2020, the polls underestimated Mr. Trump by about 4.2 points. This year’s cast of pollsters, based on those that conducted polls over the last month, ...

As you can see, Trump’s margin with noncollege-educated white voters ended up being higher than the polls suggested. But his current 27-point advantage is almost equal with that 2020 result.

As you can see, Trump’s margin with noncollege-educated white voters ended up being higher than the polls suggested. But his ...

Steve Kornacki: The polls were off in 2020. Will they be again in 2024? Analysis: Public polls underestimated Trump’s support four years ago. In a tight race, ...