Explore insights on the US-China trade deal delaying recession, inflation impacts, AI developments, and S&P500 strategies.

Faced with economic data showing clear warning signs, Republicans declared those data points as premature, just as Democrats did four years ago with inflation.

Tariffs by themselves will not send the U.S. economy into recession, though they will hurt the economy by a small amount.

Inflation has eased in various parts of ... A range of factors can lead to an economic recession or an extended period of declining economic activity, and it’s not easy to accurately predict ...

Concerns for the safe haven status of U.S. Treasuries are rising with benchmark 10-year yields expected to drift sideways ...

I released an economic forecast that I called “the best for Indiana in the 17 years I’ve been doing forecasts.” Sadly, I am ...

The S&P 500 has historically rallied by an average of 17% when weak economic data fails to trigger an actual economic ...

If unemployment does end up rising, people could buy less, which should – in theory – push prices down. In economics, there’s ...

NEXT examines the layered challenges small business owners face in 2025: the threat of inflation, uneven consumer demand, and ...

The Federal Reserve is set to hold interest rates steady and hint it's in no hurry to cut as tariffs threaten to heat up inflation amid solid economy ...

Forecasters downgraded the predicted chances of a recession after Monday's surprise trade deal between the U.S. and China, but the economy isn't out of the woods just yet.

Typically, a recession occurs when some short ... costs high to slow spending and cool inflation. Yet if tariffs weaken the economy and lead to job losses, the Fed would normally slash its key ...